The results from the Mike Watkins College Basketball Predict-o-later 5000 model (the MWCBP-5000) are in. Before I get to that, the MWPCB-5000 is designed to predict the field for the upcoming March Madness College Basketball tournament.
Using data through games completed on Sunday night, the MWCBP-5000 predicts these four teams to have the best chance of getting selected for the tournament (and defacto number one seeds) – in order:
1. Duke (MWCBP-5000 score: 32.0)
2. New Mexico (MWCBP-5000 score: 31.1)
3. Kansas (MWCBP-5000 score: 28.7)
4. Indiana (MWCBP-5000 score: 27.7)
The only surprise there, to me, is New Mexico. However, they are 10-2 in their last 12 games, have three wins over RPI top 25 teams and the third strongest schedule in the country, and have the same record as Kansas and Duke (25-4).
I am going to do a full data refresh at the conclusion of tonight’s games, and take my first shot at projecting the entire field on Wednesday.