Model and Track Error Rates for Tropical Cyclone Cosme

Here is a quick chart showing model and official forecast track error rates for Cosme. Overall the models and the Hurricane Center performed well, and while the GFDL ensemble model mean wasn’t run very often, the results were also encouraging.

Cosme - Global and Track Model Error Rates

Official forecast track and global/hurricane model error rates for Tropical Cyclone Cosme in the East Pacific as of 6/28/2013 at 2PM EDT

About Michael Watkins

Mike Watkins is the founder of Hurricane Analytics, a private organization specializing in data visualization and predictive analytics, with a special focus on tropical meteorology. They analyze complex meteorological data and communicate that information in easy-to-understand terms, to help clients prepare and anticipate the disruptive impact of Atlantic hurricanes.