Tropical Depression 4-E Forms in the East Pacific

Tropical Depression 4-E has formed in the eastern Pacific. Maximum sustained winds are 35MPH, but some strengthening is expected and it could be a tropical storm by Sunday.

Here is an initial look at the track guidance. Interesting loop from the GFDL ensemble mean, the GFS and GFS ensembles are in pretty good agreement – but still much too early to tell if this system will directly impact land. However, the official forecast is very close to the GFS solution for now, and TD-4E could be a hurricane in a few days.

Tropical Depression Four in the Eastern Pacific

Tropical Depression 4-E has developed in the eastern Pacific as of 11:00PM EDT Saturday, 6/30/2013

About Michael Watkins

Mike Watkins is the founder of Hurricane Analytics, a private organization specializing in data visualization and predictive analytics, with a special focus on tropical meteorology. They analyze complex meteorological data and communicate that information in easy-to-understand terms, to help clients prepare and anticipate the disruptive impact of Atlantic hurricanes.