Category Archives: Tropical Updates


3-7 Day Tropical Genesis Potential (9/25/2013)

Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Genesis Potential Mid Range Outlook: 48 to 168 hours (3-7 days) Hurricane Analytics Updated at 9:00AM EDT 9/25/2013 Outlook Date/Time Range: Friday at 5:00AM EDT 9/27/2013 to Tuesday 5:00AM EDT 10/1/2013 Note: This is an experimental (beta) forecast product…graphics coming soon. Forecast Event: Coastal/Subtropical or Tropical Storm Development Indicated By: Computer Models […]


5 Day Euro Forecast as of 9/24/2013 at 12Z

Possible System in the Atlantic by the Weekend (Mid-Range Outlook)

Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Genesis Potential Mid Range Outlook: 48 to 168 hours (3-7 days) Hurricane Analytics Date/Time Range: Thursday at 5:00PM EDT 9/25/2013 to Monday 5:00PM EDT 9/30/2013 Note: This is an experimental (beta) forecast product Forecast Event: Coastal/Subtropical or Tropical Storm Development Indicated By: Computer Models Possible Impacts: Elevated storm surge and tropical storm […]


Intensity and Model Tracks for Invest 97L

Intensity forecasts for Invest 97L approaching the Lesser Antilles. While the environment is currently unfavorable for development, note the ramp up in the 72+ hour time period for the statistical models. It’s important to keep in mind this system is just an invest at this time, and is not of concern for significant development in […]

Intensity Forecasts for 97L

Water Vapor Image of the Atlantic from 8/27/2013

Is the Atlantic Cap Finally Bending?

Analysis: Water Vapor image this morning shows several small areas of “popcorn” moisture in the large, dry air mass over the central Atlantic (yellow arrows), which suggests a pattern change may be close. Looking further east, convection has increased some with a tropical wave in the east Atlantic (circled). This wave has a 30% chance […]